Chance of rain 0%.
Dalton Daily
daltondaily.com
Brazil's Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro head into a runoff that polls call a coin toss
Final surveys show the presidential race tied or within a point ahead of Sunday's vote
BRASÍLIA — Brazil's presidential runoff is Sunday, Oct. 25. It pits President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva against Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former president Jair Bolsonaro. In the Oct. 4 first round, Bolsonaro took 47.03 percent of valid votes (about 56.1 million) and Lula 45.16 percent (about 53.9 million), according to the electoral court's final count. Bolsonaro carried 15 of 27 electoral units, including São Paulo, Minas Gerais and Rio de Janeiro. Lula won all nine Northeastern states. The last polls published Thursday are inside the margin of error. Datafolha has the two tied at 50 percent. Indexa has Bolsonaro at 50.6 percent and PoderData has him at 51 percent. Datafolha also puts approval of Lula's government at 49 percent. Lula won the 2022 runoff with 50.9 percent.
Why it mattersThe result will set the direction of Latin America's largest economy and the future of the Bolsonaro movement, and it carries consequences for U.S.-Brazil relations.
US and Israel reported to have drawn up post-election Iran strike plans
The New York Times says a short, intensive campaign is planned after Nov. 3. Trump has not approved it.
Nasdaq has worst day since June as AI-spending doubts hit chip stocks
Meta's $825 billion in commitments and a rise in oil prices fed a broad tech selloff
Nasdaq has worst day since June as AI funding fears spark Treasury rally
Chip stocks tumble and the 10-year yield falls about 19 basis points to roughly 4.95%, its sharpest one-day drop since March 2023.
Brent climbs to about $112 as Houthi strikes on Saudi Arabia escalate
A drone attack at Aramco's Shaybah field killed two people but did not interrupt output, and the US is moving some staff out of the kingdom.
Ethiopia's war with Tigray rebels edges toward a direct clash with Eritrea
Jobless claims fall to 194,000, near lowest since 1960s, days before Fed meeting
The World
Gaza truce turns one year old as Israelis prepare to vote Tuesday
Rights groups say the ceasefire exists on paper; Board of Peace points to reconstruction pledges
- Top intelligence Democrats say Russia is running covert campaign against Ukraine backers
- Pakistan-Taliban border war grinds on as mediators fail and proxies multiply
Business & Markets
Justice Department targets a fourth offshore wind permit, jeopardizing Senate permitting deal
New England Wind joins Revolution Wind and Maryland Offshore Wind in DOJ requests that courts send approvals back to Interior.
- Barclays to cut 5,000 jobs, citing AI efficiency, as profit rises
- Local Services Ads migration into Google Ads heads for its second phase
Technology & Science
Outside auditors found six ways AI agents could evade OpenAI's internal monitor
METR and Redwood say about 10% of eligible Codex traffic went unmonitored from May to July; OpenAI says it has patched the flaws
- Fifth Circuit removes Mississippi judge from DEI case over AI-tainted rulings
- Russian satellite shadows US-registered radar craft used by Ukraine
Law & Courts
Tennessee Supreme Court keeps ban on nonlawyer law-firm ownership
Oct. 2 order also loosens ABA-accreditation rule and creates three licensure task forces
- Full Sixth Circuit hears fight over FCC data-breach reporting rule
- Tennessee appeals court orders new trial in Memphis-area killing of trans woman
Memphis
Shelby County early voting runs nearly double 2022 pace
More than 33,000 ballots cast in first three days; elections chief hopes for 40% turnout
- Federal judge lifts council ban on Pearson and five others
- Mississippi releases bodycam video of police shooting that killed toddler near Memphis
Ideas
Religious leaders keep pressing over Army firing-squad execution of Fort Hood gunman
Trump dropped the Pentagon's livestream plan after backlash from clergy, but the Dec. 3 execution and its morality remain contested
- Vatican doctrine office warns against 'triumphalism' as convert baptisms rise
- Hume's 'Complete Essays' and Charles Taylor's poetry book lead philosophy reading
Arts & Culture
Art Basel Paris cuts public days after $10 million sales and unrest
Fair reportedly shutters Friday evening, skipping its weekend, as dealers report seven- and eight-figure deals
- MoMA opens Brancusi's Paris studio to public Sunday
- Berlin Philharmonic to leave its hall for eight years from 2032
Sports
Volkanovski and Evloev trade final words before UFC 333 title fight
Champion says he has seen undefeated challenger's puzzle before; Evloev says he will prove he can take the fight anywhere
- Chimaev offers Strickland $1 million as pay dispute clouds middleweight title
- Buckley says next UFC fight will be his last
Travel
State Department adds wrongful-detention flag to China travel advisory
Level 2 rating is unchanged, but the Oct. 19 reissue warns of exit bans and detention risk for Americans
- Galápagos whale shark season fades into November as El Niño warms Darwin and Wolf
- Midway runway shut until mid-November, a risk for Southwest travelers via Chicago