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Dalton Daily

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Vol. I · No. 13Morning edition
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Business & Markets

Business

Amazon and Intel slide after earnings, deepening tech selloff
CNBC: Stocks making the biggest moves after hours

Amazon and Intel slide after earnings, deepening tech selloff

Cloud growth fails to offset misses and heavy AI spending; Nasdaq 100 futures fall 2.2%

NEW YORK — Technology shares led a global selloff Friday after Amazon and Intel reported results that disappointed investors. Bloomberg reported that Nasdaq 100 futures were down 2.2%, as money moved out of the AI trade and into Treasuries. Amazon posted third-quarter revenue of $201.94 billion and earnings of $1.89 a share. Analysts had expected about $202.31 billion and $1.96. Amazon Web Services revenue grew about 39%, its fastest pace in nearly five years, to roughly $46 billion. The unit earned $17.8 billion in operating income. Investors focused instead on the company's $220 billion capital-spending plan, a fourth-quarter sales forecast of $240 billion to $247 billion, and negative free cash flow. Amazon shares closed down 4.3% on Thursday and fell further after hours. Intel fell more than 20% in extended trading, even with data-center growth of 78%.

Why it mattersTwo bellwethers punished despite strong AI-related growth suggests markets are now demanding returns on record infrastructure spending.

DoorDash to buy Instacart for $17 billion
NBC News: DoorDash to acquire Instacart for $17 billion

DoorDash to buy Instacart for $17 billion

Deal values grocery-delivery rival at $65 a share, a 26% premium, and invites regulatory scrutiny

NEW YORK — DoorDash agreed Thursday to acquire Instacart in a deal valued at about $17 billion, its largest acquisition to date. Instacart shareholders will receive $65 a share, roughly a 26% premium to the stock's price before takeover speculation surfaced. NBC News reported that DoorDash already handles about two-thirds of U.S. food-delivery volume. The combination would let customers order groceries and other retail items through the DoorDash network. The companies said Instacart users gain access to more than 50,000 additional stores beyond the nearly 100,000 already on its platform. DashPass and Instacart+ members would pay one membership fee instead of two. Industry coverage expects the transaction to draw antitrust attention in the U.S. as delivery platforms consolidate and face slower growth, rising costs and scrutiny of their treatment of independent contractors. Closing terms and timing were not detailed in the coverage reviewed.

Why it mattersThe merger would combine the dominant restaurant-delivery platform with the leading grocery-delivery app, a test for antitrust enforcers and for gig-economy competition.

Thrive Holdings to take ADT private in $15.3 billion deal
SecurityInfoWatch: ADT Acquired, Going Private Again

Thrive Holdings to take ADT private in $15.3 billion deal

All-cash offer of $10 a share carries a 46% premium; Apollo supplies the financing

ADT agreed Thursday to be acquired by Thrive Holdings in an all-cash transaction valued at $15.3 billion including debt. The deal will take the 152-year-old home-security company off the New York Stock Exchange. Shareholders will receive $10 a share, a premium of about 46% to ADT's unaffected closing price before the deal talk emerged. Reports of negotiations, naming Thrive Capital as the potential buyer, first surfaced Wednesday. Security-industry trade outlet SecurityInfoWatch noted an unusual twist: Apollo Global, which built ADT into its current form, took it public and has since sold out of its equity, is providing all of the financing commitments for the buyout. ADT has gone private before. Regulatory approvals, a shareholder vote and the expected closing date were not detailed in the coverage reviewed.

Why it mattersOne of the largest security-industry transactions ever pairs an AI-focused investor with a legacy services business, and shows private capital still paying large premiums for public companies.

Eli Lilly lifts 2026 sales outlook to $91-92 billion on obesity-drug demand
Wikipedia

Eli Lilly lifts 2026 sales outlook to $91-92 billion on obesity-drug demand

Third-quarter revenue rises 39%; adjusted profit outlook trimmed by acquisition charges

INDIANAPOLIS — Eli Lilly reported third-quarter revenue of $24.4 billion on Thursday, up 39% from a year earlier and well above Wall Street's roughly $22.6 billion estimate, according to its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Mounjaro and Zepbound drove the gain. Lilly earned $7.48 a share on a non-GAAP basis, and $7.22 on a reported basis. The company said about $900 million of revenue came from one-time benefits, mainly $410 million in Jardiance milestones with no more to come, plus favorable rebate adjustments. Lilly raised its full-year revenue guidance to $91 billion to $92 billion, the third increase this year. Its non-GAAP earnings forecast was trimmed to $35 to $36 a share, reflecting acquired research charges. Shares rose in early trading. Lilly also reported positive Phase 3 head-to-head results for retatrutide against Ozempic in type 2 diabetes.

Why it mattersThe results show demand for GLP-1 drugs still outrunning price cuts, making Lilly a rare large-cap winner in a week when AI-linked tech stocks stumbled.

Search & SEO

Google admits AI Mode earns less per query as Search ad growth slows
Search Engine Roundtable: Daily Search Forum Recap, Oct. 29, 2026

Google admits AI Mode earns less per query as Search ad growth slows

Alphabet's third-quarter call ties part of the slowdown to AI Mode, while Google says it will bring booking agents to Search

MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif. — Alphabet's third-quarter results, discussed on this week's earnings call, showed Google Search and other advertising revenue up 12% to $63.3 billion. Asked why growth slowed even as query volume rose, Chief Business Officer Philipp Schindler said fast growth in AI Mode queries weighed on results because those queries monetize at a lower rate. He said currency swings were the largest factor, with shifts in retail and media spending also contributing. Google did not say how big the AI Mode revenue gap is. CEO Sundar Pichai said Search query growth was the fastest in five years. AI Mode queries run about three times longer than traditional ones, and one in five uses voice, images or documents. Schindler called most AI Mode queries incremental but gave no supporting figures. Google also said it plans to add AI agents to Search that can book reservations, schedule appointments, fill out forms and make purchases.

Why it mattersGrowth in AI Mode, which pays less per query and sends fewer clicks, shapes how much lead volume local advertisers and SEOs can expect from Google, and Google's push to monetize it explains the push to add AI Mode ads and agentic booking.

Rank trackers confirm 'poisoned' Google results; Nozzle flags 22.6% of SERPs
Search Engine Roundtable: Unconfirmed Google Search Ranking Update: Volatility & Chatter Spike

UPDATERank trackers confirm 'poisoned' Google results; Nozzle flags 22.6% of SERPs

Semrush joins Ahrefs, AccuRanker and BrightLocal in warning that third-party ranking data may be unreliable

New this week: Semrush has confirmed that Google is returning inaccurate results to some automated ranking tools, calling the problem industry-wide. Ahrefs said on Oct. 22 that 5% to 20% of results were affected, depending on the data provider. A Nozzle analysis of 56.1 million SERPs across 53 countries found 22.6% flagged as poisoned since Sept. 13, against 0.28% in its baseline period. The daily peak was 43.5% on Sept. 30, and about 68% of affected pages recovered within three days. BrightLocal said the issue mainly hit positions below 10, but Semrush, AccuRanker and Nozzle also documented bad first-page data. Semrush and others suggest Google's curbs on large-scale automated collection may be the cause, which Google has not confirmed. Search Engine Roundtable said volatility kept rising through Oct. 29, and Google has announced no ranking update.

Why it mattersAgencies that report rankings to clients, including local rank-tracking reports, should check Search Console and historical data before reacting to sudden swings, since some of the movement may be bad tool data rather than real ranking changes.

Google widens free AI messaging pilot on Business Profiles
Wikipedia

Google widens free AI messaging pilot on Business Profiles

An AI agent answers routine customer questions from Search and Maps and hands off the rest

Google is giving more businesses access to AI-powered messaging on Business Profiles, according to Search Engine Roundtable and local search consultants who spotted the rollout on Oct. 29. The feature lets customers message a business from Search and Maps through their phone's native texting app. An AI agent answers routine questions, such as menu items or open reservation times, at no cost. It passes questions it cannot answer to the owner, who can take over at any point, and all messages appear in the profile. The agent only works for customers on RCS-capable networks and phones. Others' texts go straight to the owner's phone, and standard rates may apply. An email shared by local search analyst Mike Blumenthal describes the offer as an early-access pilot, and its wording points to restaurants. Google has not announced a broader launch date.

Why it mattersA free AI agent that answers and qualifies local inquiries around the clock could change how service businesses capture leads from Google, and it makes accurate hours, services and menus on a profile more important.

Finance

AI-spending fears spread from Alphabet to Amazon and Intel
ABC News (Australia) markets live, Oct 30

UPDATEAI-spending fears spread from Alphabet to Amazon and Intel

Alphabet's 12.6% drop is followed by after-hours losses in Amazon and Intel, and a slide in Asian chip stocks

NEW YORK — New since Alphabet's after-hours drop: the selloff widened. Alphabet closed Thursday down 12.6%, which ABC News Australia described as its worst fall on record and about half a trillion dollars of market value. The Nasdaq lost 1.4% to 26,184.72. The S&P 500 slipped 0.3% to 7,720 and the Dow shed 0.25% to 52,342. After the close, Amazon reported trailing-12-month free cash flow of negative $42.4 billion, against positive $14.8 billion a year earlier. It said capital spending would be about $220 billion this year, and its shares fell roughly 6.5% in extended trading. Intel fell more than 22% after a weak outlook. In Asia on Friday, the Nikkei fell as much as 3%, led by chip-equipment makers Advantest and Tokyo Electron. U.S. trading resumes later today.

Why it mattersThe market's focus has moved from whether AI demand is real to whether the cash being spent will earn a return, which bears on the heavily weighted tech stocks in major indexes.

Economy grew 3.4% in third quarter as September inflation quickened
CNBC: Q3 GDP and September PCE inflation

Economy grew 3.4% in third quarter as September inflation quickened

Growth beat forecasts while the Fed's preferred price gauge rose to 3.6%, with core at 3.1%

WASHINGTON — The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Thursday that real GDP grew at a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter, up from 2.2% in the second. Economists had expected about 3.1%. Real final sales to private domestic purchasers, which combine consumer spending and fixed investment, rose 4.9%. A separate Commerce Department report showed the personal consumption expenditures price index up 0.5% in September and 3.6% from a year earlier, from 3.4% in August. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.3% on the month and 3.1% on the year, up from 3.0%. Both matched forecasts. CNBC reported that gasoline and other energy goods rose 9.2% in the month. Personal income rose 0.2% and spending 0.5%. The BEA will revise the GDP figure on November 25.

Why it mattersStrong growth and inflation well above the Fed's 2% target, one day after the Fed held rates with two dissents for a hike, keep a December increase in play.

Treasuries rally as tech selloff drives buyers to safety
investingLive: Treasuries rally as AI selloff drives flight to safety

Treasuries rally as tech selloff drives buyers to safety

The 10-year yield falls to about 4.90%, a one-month low, after hovering near 5% earlier in the week

NEW YORK — U.S. government bonds rallied Friday as the slide in AI-linked stocks sent investors toward safer assets. According to a market report citing Reuters, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to about 4.90% and the 30-year to about 5.26%, both one-month lows. The dollar weakened with yields. On Thursday, after the stronger GDP report and September inflation data, the 10-year yield was 4.964% and the 2-year was 4.629%, CNBC reported. Strategists quoted in that coverage said the Fed's new chair, Kevin Warsh, sees the economy as strong, inflation as above target and financial conditions as not restrictive. One of them, a macro head at 21shares, said investors should expect the funds rate to keep rising. Oil is a risk to the rally: Brent is heading for a fourth straight monthly gain.

Why it mattersThe 10-year yield sets borrowing costs from mortgages to corporate debt, and it is falling because investors are buying safe assets, not because inflation is easing.

ECB and Bank of Japan hold rates but both lean toward tightening
Euronews: ECB holds rates as Lagarde announces early exit

ECB and Bank of Japan hold rates but both lean toward tightening

Lagarde says she will leave early; Tokyo says underlying inflation has reached 2% and will sell ETFs faster

FRANKFURT — The European Central Bank kept its deposit rate at 2.50% on Thursday, with the main refinancing rate at 2.65% and the marginal lending rate at 2.90%. It said rising energy prices pose upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth, and it is not pre-committing to a rate path. Euro-zone inflation is 3.8%. President Christine Lagarde said policymakers debated a hike before voting unanimously to hold, and Euronews reported that she will leave in February, months before her term ends. CNBC said markets priced about a 67% chance of a December hike. On Friday the Bank of Japan held at 1.25% in an 8-1 vote, with Hajime Takata seeking 1.5%. It said underlying inflation is consistent with its 2% target. It will also raise annual ETF sales to about 860 billion yen from January 2027, more than double the current pace. The yen rose as much as 0.4% to 157.12 per dollar.

Why it mattersTwo major central banks are pausing without ending their tightening cycles, while the Fed also faces calls for a hike, so rate pressure is not easing worldwide.

Energy & Infrastructure

Spain rail crash toll reaches 69 as signal failure and controller order probed
ABC News

Spain rail crash toll reaches 69 as signal failure and controller order probed

Second deadly collision this year on the Madrid–Andalusia high-speed line; service suspended

MADRID — At least 69 people died Wednesday when a Renfe high-speed train struck the rear of a stationary Iryo train near Urda, in Toledo province, on the Madrid–Seville line. Spain's transport ministry revised the toll down from 74 after the Interior Ministry had raised it overnight. Transport Minister Óscar Puente said a computer failure in the LZB signalling system automatically halted trains along roughly 63 kilometers of track. He said the control center then cleared the Renfe train to resume without speed limits, a decision he called inexplicable. More than 100 people were injured, and several Americans were among them, according to the State Department. Madrid–Andalusia service was suspended Thursday. Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez promised firm action if negligence is found. An independent accident commission will investigate. In January, a separate collision on the same line near Adamuz killed 46 people.

Why it mattersTwo fatal accidents in under a year on one flagship high-speed corridor raise questions about signalling safety and control-room procedures across Europe's largest high-speed network.

PJM refiles data-center backstop plan, proposing March 2027 capacity bidding
PA Environment Digest Blog (PJM announcement)

UPDATEPJM refiles data-center backstop plan, proposing March 2027 capacity bidding

Revised filing ties costs to large-load growth, lowers collateral and drops the co-op and muni opt-out

VALLEY FORGE, Pa. — PJM Interconnection filed an amended reliability backstop procurement plan with FERC on Thursday. It was the deadline set after regulators suspended the original plan. The grid operator now proposes to open bidding March 1, 2027 and close it March 28. Final targets would be set April 28 and results posted May 10. The price ceiling stays at a $555-per-megawatt-day weighted average. Costs would be allocated by zone according to firm large-load growth, and collateral requirements would be lower. The exemption for municipal utilities and cooperatives would be removed. The 6,831 MW target from the last capacity auction could shrink once PJM updates forecasts and subtracts supply already contracted bilaterally. FERC must still rule. Its September order had set a Feb. 28, 2027 effective date and a hearing. The Energy Department had urged a quick fix so households avoid data-center costs.

Why it mattersThe outcome will decide how much of a multibillion-dollar generation buildout across 13 states falls on data centers versus existing ratepayers.

UK Budget promises £750bn infrastructure pipeline and curbs on legal delays
Water Magazine

UK Budget promises £750bn infrastructure pipeline and curbs on legal delays

Plan would let Parliament designate critical projects; rail cost review due within six months

LONDON — The UK Budget on Oct. 28 set out an updated 10-year infrastructure pipeline worth more than £750 billion, to be published before the end of 2026. The government estimates delivery will need a workforce above 650,000. It also plans legislation letting Parliament designate and authorize the country's most critical projects, so legal challenges are raised and settled earlier in consenting. It would cut statutory consultation requirements and explore indemnities for developers of critical projects, building on a recommendation about nuclear developers. The approach of the Fingleton Review on delivery costs would extend to other sectors. A review of rail infrastructure costs, chaired by Rachel Skinner, is due within six months. Separately, the Budget added £200 million for Leeds station, bringing investment there to more than £300 million, with upgrades due by 2030.

Why it mattersBritain is trying to cut the cost and delay of building energy and transport projects, a problem that also affects U.S. permitting debates.

Water Magazine trade · Rail Business Daily trade