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Dalton Daily

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Vol. I · No. 2Morning edition
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Business & Markets

Business

EQT agrees to buy Australia's Cleanaway in $6.5 billion deal
DealStreetAsia

EQT agrees to buy Australia's Cleanaway in $6.5 billion deal

Swedish buyout firm signs a binding cash takeover of the waste group after two months of due diligence; shares jump about 20%

SYDNEY — Cleanaway Waste Management said Monday it has signed a binding agreement to be acquired by EQT Infrastructure VI. The deal values Australia's largest listed waste company at about A$9.3 billion (US$6.5 billion), including debt. Shareholders would receive A$3.095 in cash per share, less any dividends paid before completion. That is a 32.1% premium to the A$2.37 close on August 12, the last session before the approach became public. EQT's August proposal was A$3.13 a share, so the final price is slightly lower. Cleanaway's board unanimously backs the scheme, absent a superior bid and subject to an independent expert's finding. Cleanaway shares rose nearly 20% in Sydney, their best day since 2011. The board also flagged a fully franked special dividend of A$0.145 to A$0.19 a share. The scheme still needs shareholder and Federal Court approval and regulatory clearances. A shareholder vote is expected around the end of February, with completion targeted for the end of March 2027.

Why it mattersThe deal is one of Australia's largest buyouts this year and shows private equity still paying premiums for listed infrastructure-style assets despite this week's tech sell-off.

Proofpoint to buy Varonis for $6.3 billion, year's biggest cyber deal
SecurityWeek

Proofpoint to buy Varonis for $6.3 billion, year's biggest cyber deal

Thoma Bravo-owned Proofpoint will take the data-security firm private at a 52% premium to its pre-rumor price

Proofpoint, which is owned by private equity firm Thoma Bravo, agreed to buy data and AI security company Varonis in an all-cash transaction valued at roughly $6.3 billion. Varonis shareholders will receive $49.75 per share. That is 52% above the $32.71 close on June 22, the last full trading day before sale rumors surfaced. SecurityWeek called it the largest cybersecurity acquisition announced so far in 2026. Thoma Bravo is providing committed equity and has lined up debt financing. Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan will also invest in Proofpoint as part of the deal. Varonis' board approved the deal unanimously, but shareholder and regulatory approvals are still needed. The companies expect to close in the first half of 2027, and Varonis will then leave the public markets. The two firms say they will combine controls over what data AI agents can reach inside corporate systems.

Why it mattersThe deal shows buyers still paying large premiums for security software tied to corporate AI use, even as AI-linked stocks sell off.

SecurityWeek trade · Cybersecuritynews trade
Small-business optimism slips as inflation and borrowing costs climb
Wikipedia

Small-business optimism slips as inflation and borrowing costs climb

NFIB index falls to 97.9 in September; short-term loan rates reach 8.2%

WASHINGTON — The National Federation of Independent Business said its Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.8 points in September to 97.9, a tenth of a point below its 52-year average of 98.0. Its Uncertainty Index rose a point to 90, well above the historical average of 68. Labor quality or availability was owners' top problem for a third month, cited by 26%. Inflation was second at 20%, up 4 points. Only 7% of owners said it was a good time to expand, down 5 points. Borrowing costs rose: a net 8% of owners reported paying a higher rate on their latest loan, the most since June 2025, and the average short-term rate climbed to 8.2% from 7.5% in August. CFO Dive noted that war-driven inflation and the immigration crackdown have strained small-business hiring and performance. NFIB's next report is due November 10.

Why it mattersSmall businesses account for a large share of U.S. growth, and higher borrowing costs and labor shortages are squeezing the owners who drive it, including many in Memphis.

Fox Factory ousts CEO, slashes outlook after weak third quarter
Wikipedia

Fox Factory ousts CEO, slashes outlook after weak third quarter

Shares fell sharply after the suspension maker cut its 2026 sales and profit forecasts

DULUTH, Ga. — Fox Factory Holding, which makes suspension and performance vehicle parts, said Friday that CEO Mike Dennison is stepping down as chief executive and as a director, effective immediately. Dennison had led the company since 2019. Independent director Doug Grimm is interim CEO, and a permanent search is underway. The company also pre-announced third-quarter net sales of $336 million to $340 million, against guidance of $355 million to $380 million. It cited weak results at Marucci Sports, which it sold on September 25. It also cited a supply disruption in its Powered Vehicles Group, problems in its upfit business and softer bicycle sales. Fox now expects 2026 net sales of $1.35 billion to $1.38 billion, down from $1.42 billion to $1.47 billion. It expects adjusted EBITDA of $140 million to $150 million, excluding about $14 million of tariff refunds, versus prior guidance of $176 million to $196 million. Full results are due November 5.

Why it mattersThe abrupt exit shows how fast a profit warning can end a CEO's tenure, with tariff refunds, input costs and supply disruptions all affecting industrial and consumer manufacturers.

Search & SEO

Google begins testing ads in AI Mode for Personal Intelligence users
Search Engine Roundtable: Daily Search Forum Recap, October 16, 2026

Google begins testing ads in AI Mode for Personal Intelligence users

The test reverses Google's ad-free approach, and Google is again changing how AI answers link out to publishers.

Google has started testing ads in AI Mode. The test covers users who have opted in to Personal Intelligence by connecting their apps, according to Search Engine Land on October 16. Google had previously kept the AI Mode experience free of ads. Insights from those connected apps may now help decide which ads a person sees, though advertisers cannot access the apps themselves. Google has announced no new advertiser controls, targeting options or wider rollout. Search Engine Roundtable's October 16 recap separately reports that Google again changed how links and carousel cards appear in AI Mode and AI Overviews, and that Google will not share click data on them. The recap describes the repeated link changes as failing to drive clicks to publishers. For local lead-generation buyers, paid placement inside AI answers could become another channel competing with map-pack and Local Services inventory.

Why it mattersPaid placements inside AI answers, with no click reporting on organic links, change both where local leads originate and how agencies can measure them.

Google spam update ends; Schwartz sees signs of unconfirmed ranking shift
Search Engine Roundtable: Google September 2026 Spam Update Is Done Rolling Out

Google spam update ends; Schwartz sees signs of unconfirmed ranking shift

The September spam rollout took two weeks, far longer than the earlier 2026 spam updates.

Google's September 2026 spam update began on September 24 and finished on October 8 at 4:37 a.m. Eastern, Search Engine Roundtable reported. Google had warned the rollout could take up to two weeks. That was far longer than the earlier spam updates this year, which took about two days each. The publication's executive editor, Barry Schwartz, wrote in his October 16 recap that he was seeing signs of an unconfirmed Google ranking update. Google had not confirmed any new update in that recap. Practitioners often see volatility outside named rollouts, and agencies should avoid attributing a traffic swing to an update Google has not acknowledged. Google's Search Status Dashboard is the official place to check for confirmed rollouts.

Why it mattersLead-gen sites that saw ranking swings in recent weeks need to separate a confirmed spam-update effect from unconfirmed volatility before changing client strategy.

DOJ and Google ask appeals court for expedited search antitrust argument
Law360: DOJ, Google Want DC Circ. 'Priority' For Search Appeal

DOJ and Google ask appeals court for expedited search antitrust argument

Both sides want a hearing as soon as December 9, while the data-sharing remedies stay in force.

WASHINGTON — The Justice Department and Google jointly asked the D.C. Circuit on October 5 to prioritize their cross-appeals in the search monopolization case, Law360 reported. They proposed oral argument as early as December 9. Judge Amit Mehta's final judgment, entered in December 2025, restricts how Google distributes its services. It also requires Google to share certain search data with, and offer syndication services to, some competitors, according to Alphabet's latest quarterly filing. Google appealed in January 2026, and the DOJ and states cross-appealed in February. The district court denied Google's request to pause some remedies as premature, so the judgment remains in effect while the appeals proceed. Reporting from July said the government wants the appeals court to also bar Google's default-placement payments to distributors such as Apple. The court has not yet ruled on the scheduling request.

Why it mattersThe outcome will determine whether rivals, including AI search products, get access to Google's search data and whether default-placement deals survive.

Finance

Meta, Tesla, Netflix earnings test shaken AI trade this week
CNBC: Meta, Tesla earnings preview, week of Oct. 19

Meta, Tesla, Netflix earnings test shaken AI trade this week

About 70 S&P 500 companies report as Nasdaq tries to steady after its worst week since June

NEW YORK — Wall Street starts a heavy earnings week with the Fed in its pre-meeting blackout and little economic data due, so company results will drive sentiment. Friday's closes were S&P 500 7,659.44, Nasdaq Composite 26,140.03 and Dow 52,002.41. The Nasdaq fell more than 4% on the week as traders rotated out of tech over worries about AI-related debt. Netflix reports Tuesday after the close, after announcing about 1,000 layoffs and replacing its content chief. Meta and Tesla report Wednesday after the close. LSEG data show Tesla's profit expected to fall about 14.5%. CNBC noted that S&P 500 earnings growth excluding energy and tech is expected to slow to 7% in the third quarter from 12% in the second. The Fed meets Oct. 27-28.

Why it mattersResults from the biggest AI spenders will show whether the tech pullback is a pause or the start of something larger.

Warsh says central banks are tightening in step worldwide
CNBC: Fed's Warsh withholds rate signal, praises global tightening

Warsh says central banks are tightening in step worldwide

Fed chair gives no hint on rates at IMF meetings as ECB, others also hike

BANGKOK — Speaking Friday at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declined to say what the Fed will do at its Oct. 27-28 meeting. He described a "synchronous tightening" by central banks, with "no free riders." Euronews reported the wave includes two European Central Bank hikes, driven by energy prices that have jumped since the US-Israel war with Iran began in late February, and by the AI investment boom. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75% to 4% in September, its first hike since 2023. CME FedWatch showed a 72.3% chance of a hold this month. Goldman Sachs economists expect a pause in October and a final hike in December, and Euronews put market odds of a December hike near 90%. Warsh also called the AI path "very bumpy."

Why it mattersCoordinated global tightening raises the odds that borrowing costs stay high everywhere, limiting relief for US households, companies and governments.

Big banks post mixed quarter as bank stocks sit near correction
CNBC: S&P 500 closes near flat after big banks post earnings

Big banks post mixed quarter as bank stocks sit near correction

JPMorgan misses but lifts interest-income outlook; Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Citi beat

NEW YORK — Third-quarter results from the largest US banks were uneven. CNBC reported that JPMorgan Chase missed analyst estimates on earnings and revenue but raised its 2026 net interest income guidance. Its shares closed 0.9% lower on Oct. 13. Wells Fargo fell 3% on mixed numbers, and Goldman Sachs slipped 0.2% despite beating on revenue. Goldman, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup later beat earnings and revenue forecasts. Saxo Markets said the KBW Bank Index had fallen about 13% since August as rising Treasury yields raised worries about borrowing costs, loan demand and credit losses. Credit card, commercial real estate and loan-loss provisions are the main watch points. Fifth Third reports today, Capital One on Tuesday, and American Express on Friday.

Why it mattersBank results show how consumers and borrowers are coping with the Fed's first hike in three years and high long-term yields.

Weak hiring and 3.7% inflation squeeze US households and the Fed
CNBC: Labor market faltered in September, jobs up 29,000

Weak hiring and 3.7% inflation squeeze US households and the Fed

September payrolls rose 29,000 as wages trailed prices

WASHINGTON — The latest official labor data, for September, show a low-hire economy. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported payrolls up 29,000, well below the 84,000 forecast, with July and August revised down by 60,000 combined. Unemployment rose to 4.2%, largely because more people entered the labor force. Average hourly earnings rose 3.0% over 12 months, the slowest since May 2021. Euronews reported September consumer prices up 3.7% from a year earlier, so real wages are falling. Financial activities employment is down 129,000 from its May 2025 peak. Vanguard's Adam Schickling described a "low-hire, low-fire" market. Weekly jobless claims are forecast near 200,000 on Thursday. With the Fed in blackout, that reading is the next labor-market clue before its Oct. 27-28 meeting.

Why it mattersSlow hiring and wage growth below inflation weigh on consumer spending, complicating the Fed's case for further rate hikes.

Energy & Infrastructure

Brent touches $110 as Hormuz tanker attacks reach wartime high
Al Jazeera: Iran steps up Hormuz surveillance, attacks soar, oil flows crash again

Brent touches $110 as Hormuz tanker attacks reach wartime high

Crude eases Monday on Russia sanctions waiver, but shipping risk keeps prices near $108

Brent crude briefly reached $110 a barrel on Friday, its highest level since May. It slipped to about $108 on Monday after the U.S. eased Russia-related sanctions. WTI traded near $100 to $101. The driver is the Strait of Hormuz, where Kpler counted 10 tankers struck between September 28 and October 4, according to Al Jazeera. The UK Maritime Trade Operations centre logged 15 more attacks between October 6 and 14, 11 of them in the last four days of that period. Kpler data show only 2.9 million barrels moved through the strait on October 11, the lowest of the month. On October 8 the figure was nearly 20.8 million, against a prewar average of 17.1 million. Houthi strikes on Saudi targets add to supply worries. Markets are watching whether the Russian diesel waiver and emergency stock releases can offset the disruption.

Why it mattersSustained triple-digit crude and disrupted Gulf flows feed straight into U.S. diesel and gasoline costs ahead of the November 3 midterms.

Trump waives new Russia energy sanctions days after diesel deal with Putin
CNBC: Trump waives broad new Russia sanctions, Zelenskyy condemns it

Trump waives new Russia energy sanctions days after diesel deal with Putin

Graham Act tariffs on Russian goods and top buyers suspended; analysts doubt a price effect

WASHINGTON — President Trump signed an executive order late Friday, October 16, using the national-interest waiver in the Graham Act. The law, signed September 18, required tariffs of up to 500% on Russian goods. It also required tariffs of up to 100% on top buyers of Russian oil and gas, including China and India. The waiver came two days before the implementation deadline. Existing sanctions under earlier orders stay in place. It follows an October 9 deal in which Putin agreed to supply more than 4 million tons of diesel, and a Treasury license easing sanctions on Russian diesel through April 2027. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy called the waiver wrong. Kremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev called it historic. Analysts cited by CNBC and the Council on Foreign Relations say the diesel volumes are small against a global shortfall that Kpler puts near 1 million barrels a day. Bipartisan senators and House members have asked the administration to reverse course.

Why it mattersThe move trades sanctions pressure on Moscow for a hoped-for fuel-price benefit, and it is drawing legal and political challenges in Congress and in Europe.

Texas regulators extend review of contested 765-kV West Texas power line
Texas Scorecard: Regulators Extend Time To Consider Rehearing on Oncor's Transmission Line

Texas regulators extend review of contested 765-kV West Texas power line

Rehearing window for Oncor's Permian-area project stretches to 100 days as landowners and pipelines object

AUSTIN — The Public Utility Commission of Texas voted October 15 to extend its time to consider rehearing motions on Oncor's Dinosaur-to-Drill Hole 765-kilovolt line, according to Texas Scorecard. That outlet is an advocacy-leaning Texas political site. The extension runs to 100 days after the commission's August 28 order. By the commission's statutory calendar that is December 6, rather than the October 22 cutoff that would otherwise have applied. The line would run roughly 390 miles from near Glen Rose to the Culberson-Reeves county line. It is among the first projects under the Permian Basin Reliability Plan. The Texas Tribune reported the commission approved two Oncor lines unanimously in August, over landowner objections. Pipeline operators have asked for safeguards against stray-current effects. Oncor says the existing order is adequate. A groundwater district has also sought protections for an aquifer. Attorneys cited by Texas Scorecard advise against land acquisition until the motions are resolved.

Why it mattersThe outcome will test how fast Texas can build the high-voltage backbone that oil-field electrification and data-center load are driving, and at what cost to landowners.