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Dalton Daily

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Business & Markets

Business

AI and chip stocks sink; Nasdaq posts its worst week since June
CNBC: Major earnings reports due next week

AI and chip stocks sink; Nasdaq posts its worst week since June

Debt worries around data-center builders and cheaper Chinese memory chips hit tech, while small caps slip into correction.

NEW YORK — U.S. tech shares ended a volatile week lower. CNBC reported the Nasdaq fell about 2% on Friday, its worst week since June, amid the AI sell-off and higher oil prices. Schwab said investors were questioning whether heavily indebted data-center, software and chip companies can turn record capital spending into profit. At Friday's open the Philadelphia semiconductor index had fallen seven sessions in a row. CoreWeave dropped about 5.6% on debt concerns, even after Nvidia's Jensen Huang said the company needs no backstop. The 10-year Treasury yield swung from near 5.33% to 5.05% in a day. Small-cap stocks fell into correction territory on Wednesday. In South Korea, the Herald reported the Kospi fell 16.69% over the week, with a circuit breaker triggered Thursday. Tesla, Meta, IBM and Netflix report next week.

Why it mattersA selloff led by the AI trade that has driven index gains, combined with 5% Treasury yields, tests whether corporate earnings can hold up the market.

ECB clears UniCredit to take control of Germany's Commerzbank
AFP via France 24: UniCredit says receives ECB green light

ECB clears UniCredit to take control of Germany's Commerzbank

Italian lender expects about 50% of voting rights by year-end after a hostile offer; merger deferred to 2029-30.

MILAN — UniCredit said Thursday the European Central Bank has authorized it to go above 30% of Commerzbank and raise its stake without an upper limit, in what AFP called an important milestone for its bid. The Italian bank says it expects to complete the remaining regulatory steps around year-end and hold roughly 50% of Commerzbank's voting rights. Its offer closed in July, lifting its position to about 48%, according to Bloomberg and other reports. Commerzbank had initially resisted but entered talks in July, Finextra reported. CEO Andrea Orcel is reported to want a profit-boosting strategy imposed from January, with a full merger put off until 2029-2030. The ECB approval is not a completed takeover. Other approvals are still needed, and Commerzbank's CEO has said supervisory sign-offs could slip into early 2027.

Why it mattersIf completed, it would be Europe's largest cross-border bank deal since the financial crisis and would reshape German corporate lending.

Netflix cuts 6% of staff and swaps content chief ahead of earnings
AP via ABC News: Netflix is laying off 6% of its workforce

Netflix cuts 6% of staff and swaps content chief ahead of earnings

About 1,000 jobs go in the streamer's biggest layoff since 2022; Peter Rice replaces Bela Bajaria.

Netflix told employees on Oct. 14 it is cutting about 6% of its workforce, nearly 1,000 jobs, AP reported. Co-CEOs Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters said product, technology, legal and HR teams would be hit hardest. The company had about 16,000 full-time staff at the end of 2025. The memo said Netflix remains on track to meet its full-year forecast. A day later the company announced that chief content officer Bela Bajaria is leaving after ten years, and Deadline reported that former Disney and Fox executive Peter Rice is replacing her. Shares are down about 40% this year, and Schwab noted they fell a further 3.6% on the leadership news. Netflix reports third-quarter results Tuesday, Oct. 20. The company walked away from a deal for Warner's studio and streaming business in February.

Why it mattersThe cuts and the content-chief change come as the biggest streamer faces slower growth and tougher competition, with earnings due Tuesday.

Judge denies Amazon's bid to delay FTC monopoly trial
MLex: Amazon's bid to delay FTC trial rejected

Judge denies Amazon's bid to delay FTC monopoly trial

Federal bench trial stays set for March 29, 2027, despite overlapping California attorney general case.

SEATTLE — U.S. District Judge John Chun on Oct. 9 rejected Amazon's request to move the Federal Trade Commission's monopolization trial to June 2027, according to MLex and Law360. He wrote that he had been preparing for the March 29, 2027 date and saw no good reason to change the schedule. The FTC alleges Amazon created an artificial price floor across online retail. Amazon had argued that a parallel California attorney general case could overlap in time. The order does not decide whether Amazon violated antitrust law, and a law-firm analysis notes the case has not been tried and there is no liability holding. Dispositive and Daubert motions were due Oct. 16, with a final pretrial conference set for March 15, 2027.

Why it mattersThe case is among the most consequential tests of how U.S. antitrust law treats marketplace pricing, with major implications for sellers and brands.

Search & SEO

Google now bills Local Services advertisers for some unanswered calls
Invoca: Local Services Ads moving to Performance Max

Google now bills Local Services advertisers for some unanswered calls

The Oct. 1 rule change arrives as LSA campaigns move into Performance Max and manual bidding is retired

MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif. — Since Oct. 1, Google can charge Local Services Ads advertisers for a missed call that comes in during business hours if the caller stays on the line more than 20 seconds. Search Engine Land reported that an advertiser can be billed even when nobody at the business picks up. If a phone menu requires a key press, the timer starts only after the caller presses it. A follow-up call that meets Google's lead criteria can also be charged when the first call was not. Google says the change rewards responsiveness and adds protections against robocalls, but it has not described how those work. Separately, Google began moving eligible U.S. home and storefront advertisers into pay-per-lead Performance Max campaigns in August. Vendor guidance says manual cost-per-lead bidding is being phased out and weekly budgets become daily ones. Other categories and markets follow later.

Why it mattersFor a lead-generation business, call handling and phone-menu setup now directly drive what clients pay Google, and the migration removes some bidding control.

Google tightens Business Profile and Maps rules, leaving owners less time to react
Search Engine Roundtable: Google Business Profiles Gives You Four Days To Reject User Suggested Edits

Google tightens Business Profile and Maps rules, leaving owners less time to react

Four-day edit window, spam-review pauses and a sign-in gate on reviews arrived within weeks of each other

MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif. — Google updated its Business Profile help page in late September to say owners have four days to accept or reject a user-suggested edit once notified. After that, Google may publish the change if other public information, such as the business's website, supports it. Google also says some edits can be applied without prior review, and it does not list which. Around the same time, owners began receiving emails saying Google had detected a spike in spam reviews, removed them and paused new reviews for a few days. Local SEO practitioners say the filter has also caught legitimate review drives. On Sept. 30, Search Engine Roundtable reported that Google Maps prompts users to sign in to read all reviews, sort them or leave one. Google has not formally announced that change or explained its reason. Some commentators suspect an effort to deter scrapers.

Why it mattersAgencies managing client profiles now need a monitored inbox and a twice-weekly check, and review-request campaigns should be paced to avoid triggering the spam filter.

Google adds links to AI answers as new research shows AI Mode cuts clicks
PPC Land: Google pushes links higher in AI answers as Preferred Sources use rises 7x

Google adds links to AI answers as new research shows AI Mode cuts clicks

A 1,100-person experiment found AI Mode sharply reduced visits to outside sites and lowered satisfaction

On Oct. 15 Google published five changes meant to put more links in AI Mode and AI Overviews, according to PPC Land. They include a test of clickable creator and publisher names on video results in AI Mode, and Google said use of its Preferred Sources feature has grown more than sevenfold since January. The post gave no click-through figures. Independent research points the other way. A randomized field experiment of 1,100 U.S. Chrome users, reported by Search Engine Land, found that routing searches into AI Mode cut the share leading to an outside site by 18.8 percentage points. Those users also reported lower satisfaction. Hiding AI Overviews raised click-through by an estimated 8.8 points, though a Google HTML change weakened the researchers' blocking method. The sample skewed young and educated, and the test ran only seven days.

Why it mattersFewer clicks from AI-first results make local pack, Maps and profile visibility, which AI answers draw on, more important to lead flow than organic page rankings.

Finance

Hot inflation data puts Fed's Oct. 27-28 meeting in play
CNBC: Wholesale prices jumped 6.3% in September

Hot inflation data puts Fed's Oct. 27-28 meeting in play

September CPI and PPI top forecasts; traders still lean toward a hold, with a December hike priced in

WASHINGTON — Consumer prices rose 0.6% in September and 3.7% from a year earlier, a touch above forecasts, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported wholesale prices up 6.3% on the year. That is the largest annual PPI gain since 2022. Core PPI rose 5%. Energy costs tied to the Iran war drove much of the increase. The Fed raised rates a quarter point in September, to 3.75%-4.00%, its first hike in three years. Chair Kevin Warsh said Friday in Bangkok that he does not prejudge meetings. Futures put the chance of an October hike near 15% that morning, though another estimate cited by an Indian ratings firm put it at 21.6%. Markets give a December increase roughly a two-in-three chance or better. September payrolls added only 29,000 jobs, and unemployment rose to 4.2%. The Fed blackout begins ahead of the Oct. 27-28 meeting.

Why it mattersRate-hike odds drive mortgage, business-loan and Treasury yields, and an energy-driven inflation spike is colliding with a softening job market.

Nasdaq logs worst week since June as oil tops $100
CNBC: Nasdaq slides 2% Friday, worst week since June

Nasdaq logs worst week since June as oil tops $100

Tech and chip shares slide; long Treasury yields hold above 5%

NEW YORK — U.S. stocks fell Friday. The S&P 500 lost 1.09% to 7,659.44, the Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.14% to 26,140.03, and the Dow slipped 175.28 points to 52,002.41. For the week the S&P 500 fell about 2% and the Nasdaq more than 4%, its worst stretch since June, while the Dow gained 0.7%. Chipmakers Micron and Intel led the decline. West Texas Intermediate settled at $101.41 a barrel and Brent at $109.86, as U.S.-Iran and Russia-Ukraine tensions escalated. In bonds, the 10-year Treasury yield was near 5.09%, the 30-year near 5.43% and the 2-year near 4.72%. The 10-year had spiked above 5.30% after the CPI release before retreating. Tesla, Meta, IBM and Netflix report earnings in the coming week.

Why it mattersA rotation out of AI-linked growth stocks, combined with oil above $100 and 5% long-term yields, tightens financial conditions for companies and households.

CoreWeave's bond rout becomes a gauge of AI-debt stress
CNBC: CoreWeave credit default swaps hit distress levels

CoreWeave's bond rout becomes a gauge of AI-debt stress

Yields above 15% and record default-swap costs raise questions about financing the AI buildout

NEW YORK — CoreWeave, the AI cloud operator with about $50 billion in debt and obligations, saw its shares fall 15.5% Wednesday, its worst day since February, as the hot CPI report lifted rates. By Thursday its 9.75% bonds due 2031 yielded 15.78%. Five-year credit default swap spreads topped 1,140 basis points at one point, a level generally seen as distressed. These prices show investor doubt, not a default. CEO Mike Intrator called the reaction irrational and said the company's contract backlog covers its debt. S&P rates the company B+, which is below investment grade. Oracle, Nebius and Dell also fell. Axios noted that higher borrowing costs hit heavily indebted AI builders hardest. Analysts are watching whether spreads widen on stronger hyperscaler credits as well.

Why it mattersBond investors are rethinking how much leverage the AI boom can carry at 5% Treasury yields, a shift that could spread beyond one company.

IMF closes Bangkok meetings warning of debt and bond-yield strain
Nation Thailand: IMF warns global economy is 'standing on one leg'

IMF closes Bangkok meetings warning of debt and bond-yield strain

Georgieva says the AI boom is both a support and a risk as rising yields squeeze poorer countries

BANGKOK — The IMF and World Bank annual meetings ended Saturday with Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva describing a mix of optimism and worry. She cited the global economy's resilience, AI's promise and Asia's dynamism, against inflation, heavy debt, war and climate risks. She said higher global interest rates and bond yields have pushed debt service for low-income countries from 8% to 14% of government revenue. A chair's summary said high public debt and rising sovereign yields are tightening financial conditions, and it stressed central bank independence. In an Oct. 7 speech, Georgieva urged what she called a prudently hawkish bias in monetary policy. At that point 30-year U.S. Treasury yields had reached 5.73%, the highest since 2002, and the 30-year U.K. gilt was near 6%.

Why it mattersThe global fund's warning links U.S. yields and Fed policy to financing stress abroad and treats AI-driven growth as a point of vulnerability.

Energy & Infrastructure

Brent returns to $110 as IEA speeds diesel releases amid Hormuz crisis
gCaptain: IEA Moves to Accelerate Oil Reserve Releases

Brent returns to $110 as IEA speeds diesel releases amid Hormuz crisis

Emergency stocks are being pushed out faster, but the agency expects the diesel shortage to last into 2027

PARIS — Brent crude touched $110 a barrel Friday for the first time since May. U.S. benchmark WTI settled near $101. The International Energy Agency's governing board agreed Thursday to speed up the release of about 100 million barrels still outstanding from its March emergency pledge, including more than 20 million barrels of diesel. About 330 million barrels have been released so far. The IEA's October report says disruptions in the Middle East and Russia removed roughly 1.3 million barrels a day of diesel and gasoil exports in September compared with a year earlier. It puts global observed stocks 509 million barrels below pre-war levels. Attacks on shipping have intensified this month, including the sinking of the container ship GFS Pride in the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. diesel averaged $6.32 a gallon Friday. The IEA expects diesel inventories to stay depleted until the second half of 2027.

Why it mattersDiesel moves freight, farming and construction costs, so a prolonged shortage feeds directly into inflation and into U.S. politics before the November 3 midterms.

FERC rejects PJM data-center curtailment plan after October grid emergency
Bisnow: Regulators Reject Proposed Rules For Data Centers On Nation's Largest Grid

FERC rejects PJM data-center curtailment plan after October grid emergency

Regulators approve a large-load registry but send the 'bring your own power' framework back to states

WASHINGTON — The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission on Oct. 9 rejected the core of a PJM Interconnection proposal. It would have let new data centers connect without matching new generation, on condition that they accept curtailment ahead of other customers in emergencies. FERC said the plan intruded on retail matters reserved to states and discriminated against large loads. It approved a registry of users drawing 50 MW or more. The ruling followed a tight week on the grid. The Energy Department issued a four-day emergency order on Oct. 12 at PJM's request. PJM had forecast it would be within 900 MW of its reserve margin, with about 61,600 MW of generation on outage. PJM called demand response on two afternoons. It did not use the order's authority to move data centers onto backup generators. The NRDC wants PJM to refile quickly. Analysts at Jefferies expect any new curtailment rules to come from states such as Pennsylvania and Ohio.

Why it mattersPJM serves about 67 million people, and the ruling leaves open who pays for data-center demand and who is cut first when supply runs short.

Nuclear uprates and licensing gain pace as tech money backs existing reactors
ANS Nuclear Newswire: Google, Constellation reach 11-unit uprate plan

Nuclear uprates and licensing gain pace as tech money backs existing reactors

Google-Constellation deal and a renewed AP1000 certification mark a busy stretch for U.S. nuclear

Constellation Energy will invest more than $4.3 billion to add 890 MW across 11 reactors in Illinois, Pennsylvania and New Jersey, under a 20-year power purchase agreement with Google announced Oct. 6. Work covers turbines, steam generators and digital controls, with the first power expected as soon as 2028. Constellation's chief executive said such projects need prices above what the market pays. The Energy Department separately committed a roughly $4.2 billion loan to Vistra for uprates at plants in Pennsylvania and Ohio. On Wednesday the Nuclear Regulatory Commission renewed and updated Westinghouse's AP1000 design certification, making Vogtle-4 the reference plant. At Palisades, the Michigan plant seeking to be the first U.S. reactor restarted after shutdown, the NRC reported possible safety-culture concerns. It also approved Holtec's plan to remove a tilted fuel assembly.

Why it mattersWith power demand rising, utilities and tech buyers are turning to existing reactors and restarts, but regulators are still scrutinizing the restarts.