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Dalton Daily

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Vol. I · No. 19Morning edition
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Business & Markets

Business

AMD's data-center surge cheers investors while Qualcomm slides on weak outlook
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AMD's data-center surge cheers investors while Qualcomm slides on weak outlook

Two chipmakers beat estimates this week, but forward guidance split the market's reaction

NEW YORK — AMD reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.09 a share against a consensus of about $1.95. Revenue of $13.45 billion rose 45% from a year earlier and topped forecasts. CNBC reported that data-center revenue nearly doubled and that CEO Lisa Su expects growth to accelerate. The shares moved little the next day after an earlier jump. Qualcomm also beat Wall Street estimates after Wednesday's close, but its forecast came in below expectations and the stock fell about 6.5% in after-hours trading. Arm Holdings beat earnings expectations with 52 cents a share against 47 cents expected, yet its shares dipped almost 2%. Investors are also watching whether Democratic control of Congress and a proposed data-center moratorium in Texas bring tougher regulation of AI infrastructure.

Why it mattersThe split reaction suggests investors are rewarding AI data-center exposure while penalizing companies that depend on handsets and PCs, with regulation now a new risk.

Goodman and Digital Realty seek 9.9% of NextDC at 45% premium
CNBC: NextDC shares surge after Goodman, Digital Realty stake purchases

Goodman and Digital Realty seek 9.9% of NextDC at 45% premium

Australian data-center operator's shares jump more than 40% after a surprise stake-building move

SYDNEY — Goodman Group and Digital Realty moved after Wednesday's close to buy up to 9.9% of Australian data-center operator NextDC. They offered A$9.50 a share, about A$715 million in total (roughly US$500 million). The price was a 45.5% premium to NextDC's A$6.53 close, and the shares rose more than 40% Thursday. The two buyers said they have no current plan for a full takeover bid but kept that option open. NextDC's board called the approach opportunistic. It came about two weeks after the company disclosed a power-supply delay at its M3 Melbourne facility, cut its fiscal 2027 outlook and paused new development and land purchases. JPMorgan is advising on the stake purchase. It is not yet clear how many shares were actually acquired.

Why it mattersThe move shows strategic buyers circling AI-era data-center assets that public markets have marked down on power and capital constraints.

Schaeffler to cut 3,460 jobs, close five sites as German auto slump deepens
electrive: Schaeffler to cut almost 3,500 jobs

Schaeffler to cut 3,460 jobs, close five sites as German auto slump deepens

The bearings and EV-parts maker targets €300 million in annual savings from 2030

FRANKFURT — German auto supplier Schaeffler said Tuesday it will eliminate 3,460 jobs and close five sites in Europe, four of them in Germany. The cuts, due by 2028, equal roughly 3% of its nearly 110,000 workers. About 2,660 of the jobs are in Germany. They come on top of 4,700 cuts announced in 2024. The company expects annual savings of about €300 million from 2030, with one-off costs of about €480 million, according to a trade report. Schaeffler cited weak demand for combustion-engine vehicles, a slower electric-mobility ramp-up, high German labor costs and competition from Chinese rivals. Its e-mobility division lost €571 million at the operating level in the first nine months. Shares fell a little over 2% after third-quarter core profit of €245 million, down 7.2%. The works council said the plan lacks a growth vision and asked for talks.

Why it mattersThe cuts show the strain on Europe's auto-supply chain as combustion-engine demand falls faster than electric-vehicle profits arrive.

AppLovin leaps 24% while Snap and Expedia drop after earnings
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AppLovin leaps 24% while Snap and Expedia drop after earnings

Stocks rallied Wednesday after the midterms and an oil price slump; company results drove the next move

NEW YORK — Wall Street's Wednesday rally set the backdrop. The Dow gained more than 1,500 points, or 3%, its best day since April 2025, and the S&P 500 rose 1.6%. West Texas Intermediate crude fell more than 8% to $88.12 a barrel. In after-hours trading, AppLovin jumped almost 24% on better-than-expected results and guidance. Coherent gained 7% after beating profit and revenue estimates. Expedia fell more than 7% on a mixed outlook: it forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $3.69 billion to $3.75 billion, versus the $3.74 billion analysts expected on average. Snap shares dropped more than 10% after a third-quarter revenue miss. E.l.f. Beauty reported a 51% rise in sales and raised its full-year forecast. Airbnb and Akamai report Thursday afternoon.

Why it mattersThe reactions show investors rewarding guidance over headline beats, with travel and ad-supported social platforms facing the harshest scrutiny.

Search & SEO

Google Ads says Performance Max may hand brand searches to Search campaigns
Search Engine Roundtable

Google Ads says Performance Max may hand brand searches to Search campaigns

A new line in the help page tells advertisers to fund brand campaigns and consider Search Themes

Google has added a paragraph to its Ads Help page on how Performance Max interacts with other campaigns. It says Performance Max campaigns may filter out navigational or brand-specific queries so that dedicated Search campaigns serve them. To capture that traffic, Google tells advertisers to give brand Search campaigns enough budget and high-quality, eligible ads, and to consider adding Search Themes to Performance Max. The wording is permissive ("may"), and Google has given no start date. It has not said how it defines a brand query, what happens in accounts with no brand Search campaign, or how filtered queries will appear in reporting. An archived copy of the page from June 17 lacks the paragraph. Search Engine Roundtable reported the change on November 3 after a PPC News Feed contributor spotted it.

Why it mattersAgencies that rely on Performance Max to capture clients' brand and name searches could see lower reported returns, or lose that traffic entirely, unless a funded brand Search campaign is running.

Google AI Mode now shows up to four ads per answer
Wikipedia

UPDATEGoogle AI Mode now shows up to four ads per answer

Advertisers spotted four stacked text ads under a single AI Mode response; Google has not said how widely it runs

Google can now show up to four Google Ads in an AI Mode response to a single query, Search Engine Roundtable reported on November 4. Search Engine Watch had relayed an example by November 2, in which four text ads from marketing-technology firms sat beneath one answer. Sightings of three ads were passed around on October 14. Google has not said how broadly the four-ad layout runs or whether it will last. The report follows Google's earnings-call remarks that AI Mode monetizes less than traditional search while ads in AI Overviews and AI Mode are scaled to more users, queries and markets. This is a new development on the earlier AI Mode ads story: the ad count per answer is now higher.

Why it mattersMore ad slots inside AI answers push organic and local listings further down the page for the commercial queries lead-generation clients depend on.

Search Console shows odd click spike as Google signals no click data for AI reports
Wikipedia

Search Console shows odd click spike as Google signals no click data for AI reports

Reporting quirks and documentation changes complicate how agencies prove search results

Google Search Console's performance report has been showing an unexplained jump in clicks for some sites over the past couple of days. It does not affect every site, and Search Engine Roundtable says it may be a bug. Separately, Google's Gary Illyes implied that click and query data are unlikely to be added to Search Console's AI performance report, according to the same outlet on November 2. Google has also revised its page-indexing help text. It now says that not indexing every page is common and does not necessarily signal a problem. Another Google statement says a site with only its homepage indexed may have a quality issue. Google has not confirmed a cause for the click anomaly.

Why it mattersAgencies reporting organic results to local clients should treat the recent Search Console click figures with caution, and should not expect click-level data on AI visibility.

Finance

Dow surges 1,569 points as Democratic sweep and falling oil lift stocks
CNBC: Dow soars 1,500 points for best day since April 2025

UPDATEDow surges 1,569 points as Democratic sweep and falling oil lift stocks

Wednesday's session ended the election-night tech rout, with the S&P 500 up 1.58% and oil down more than 8%.

NEW YORK — U.S. stocks closed sharply higher Wednesday after Democrats won the House and Senate in Tuesday's midterms, removing election uncertainty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1,569.40 points, or 3.03%, to 53,356.12. That was its best day since April 9, 2025, and put it back above 53,000 for the first time since Sept. 8. The S&P 500 rose 1.58% to 7,688.62 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.44% to 25,736.51. Crude fell more than 8% after Vice President JD Vance blamed the Iran war for Republican losses. AI-linked shares lagged: neocloud stocks fell about 6% and CoreWeave dropped more than 7%, on concern that a Democratic Congress could scrutinize data-center buildout. Overnight, Nasdaq-100 futures had sunk as much as 2.5%. Investors now turn to Friday's October jobs report.

Why it mattersThe result clears a major political risk and lowers oil, but it also exposes the AI trade to new regulatory risk.

ADP shows 86,000 private hires as Friday's payrolls test December Fed hike
CNBC: Private companies added 86,000 jobs in October, ADP says

ADP shows 86,000 private hires as Friday's payrolls test December Fed hike

Economists expect roughly 60,000 to 75,000 October jobs; traders still put a December increase near 80%.

WASHINGTON — Private employers added 86,000 jobs in October, ADP reported Wednesday. That matched the revised September figure and beat forecasts of about 69,000 to 75,000. Trade, transportation and utilities led with 39,000 jobs, while professional and business services lost 27,000. Base pay rose 3.2% from a year earlier, and job-changers saw 4.8%. The Labor Department's October payrolls report is due Friday. Forecasters quoted by outlets including U.S. News and Fox Business expect gains of about 60,000 to 75,000 and an unemployment rate of 4.2%. September payrolls rose only 29,000. Weekly jobless claims stood at 194,000 for the week ended Oct. 24, near the lowest level since July, according to the Labor Department. Economists told Morningstar that Friday's report is unlikely to change December expectations, with the Fed meeting Dec. 8-9 and futures pricing about a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike.

Why it mattersSteady hiring and cooling layoffs leave the Fed's inflation fight as the main driver of December rate expectations.

Bank of England set to raise rates for first time since 2023
Wikipedia

Bank of England set to raise rates for first time since 2023

A Reuters poll expects a 7-2 vote for 4%, with markets pricing more hikes in 2027.

LONDON — The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee is due to announce its decision Thursday at noon London time. Economists polled by Reuters expect a 7-2 vote to lift Bank Rate to 4% from 3.75%. That would be the first increase since August 2023 and the first change since a cut last December. Mounting inflation pressure from the U.S.-Iran war is the driver. Financial markets price at least three more quarter-point rises next year, which would put UK rates above projected U.S. levels. At the September meeting the committee voted 6-3 to hold, with Megan Greene, Catherine Mann and Huw Pill favoring a rise to 4%. Governor Andrew Bailey and four other members said the case for a hike grew the longer energy prices stayed high. The decision comes with the Bank's quarterly Monetary Policy Report.

Why it mattersA UK hike would extend the global tightening cycle and tests whether central banks look through energy-driven inflation.

Treasury yields ease and dollar slips as oil drops, but Fed hike odds hold
CNBC: 10-year Treasury yield slides as traders mull Democrats' midterm victories

Treasury yields ease and dollar slips as oil drops, but Fed hike odds hold

The 10-year yield fell to about 4.89%, gold topped $4,000 and futures still show roughly 81% odds of a December increase.

NEW YORK — Bond yields fell Wednesday as oil dropped and investors assessed Democratic control of Congress. CNBC reported the 10-year Treasury yield down more than 6 basis points at 4.884%, the 30-year at 5.273% and the 2-year at 4.573%. The dollar index fell to about 101.5, a one-month low, according to market data compiled by broker EBC. Gold rose past $4,000 an ounce. Schwab said hopes that a split government could restrain borrowing and spending helped gold and kept yields in check. Short-term rate expectations barely moved. The CME FedWatch tool put the chance of a December Fed hike at about 81%, a bit higher than earlier in the week. The Fed held its target range at 3.75% to 4.00% on Oct. 28, with two dissents in favor of a hike. Next week's inflation data and Friday's payrolls are the next checks.

Why it mattersLower long-term yields help borrowers and valuations, but unchanged hike odds show the Fed's near-term path has not softened.

Energy & Infrastructure

Russia's biggest strike on Ukraine's grid forces nuclear plants to cut output
Ukrinform: Nuclear power plants forced to reduce output after Russian attacks

Russia's biggest strike on Ukraine's grid forces nuclear plants to cut output

Rolling blackouts hit most regions as a substation tied to the Khmelnytskyi plant is targeted

KYIV — Ukraine's nuclear power plants have reduced generation after what Kyiv describes as the largest Russian attack yet on its power system, launched Nov. 3. Ukrinform reports the Energy Ministry said the cuts followed large-scale, systematic strikes on energy infrastructure. Among the targets was a high-voltage substation critical to the Khmelnytskyi nuclear plant. On Wednesday, scheduled hourly outages were imposed across most of the country. Emergency outages were in force in Kyiv, the Kyiv region and Kharkiv. Censor.net reported outages in Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Zaporizhzhia, Kirovohrad, Kharkiv and Kherson regions, with Kyiv and Kharkiv worst affected. The ministry said output will return to normal gradually as crews repair damaged lines. Repairs continue wherever the security situation allows. The figures come from Ukrainian official statements and have not been independently verified.

Why it mattersAttacks on substations that serve nuclear plants strain grid stability and put winter power supply for millions of Ukrainians at risk.

Lapsed infrastructure-law money leaves highway, bridge programs in limbo as Congress returns
Wikipedia

Lapsed infrastructure-law money leaves highway, bridge programs in limbo as Congress returns

Senate Democrats put the formula funding at risk at $10.8 billion; a Dec. 11 deadline looms

WASHINGTON — Congress returns Nov. 9 with surface transportation funding unresolved. A stopgap measure extends Highway Trust Fund programs to Dec. 11. It left out the advance appropriations in the 2021 infrastructure law, so that money lapsed Oct. 1, according to Transport Topics. A report from Sen. Maria Cantwell's office, dated Oct. 27, estimates $10.8 billion in nationwide formula funding is at risk, including a full loss for the Bridge Formula Program. It also finds that discretionary programs such as Safe Streets and Roads for All and the Mega program would get no money. The American Public Transportation Association estimates a 20% cut to transit investment and an over-80% cut to passenger rail. Lawmakers have about five legislative weeks to pass a longer bill or approve another short-term extension. The Cantwell figures are a Democratic estimate.

Why it mattersState transportation departments are trimming project lettings because of the uncertainty, and more than 41,000 U.S. bridges are rated in poor condition.

DOE offers Constellation up to $5 billion to add output at eight nuclear plants
Constellation press release

DOE offers Constellation up to $5 billion to add output at eight nuclear plants

Conditional loan targets roughly 1.1 GW of uprates in Illinois, Maryland and Pennsylvania

WASHINGTON — The Energy Department's Office of Energy Dominance Financing announced Oct. 27 a conditional commitment of up to $5 billion to Constellation. The money would finance uprates and modernization at eight nuclear plants in Illinois, Maryland and Pennsylvania. Power Magazine puts the potential additional capacity at nearly 1.1 GW. DOE says the work would support power for more than 930,000 homes and over 10,000 jobs. The commitment is subject to technical, legal, environmental and financial conditions, and it includes an option to finance uprates at other Constellation sites. It advances a goal in a 2025 executive order of 5 GW of uprates at existing reactors. Utility Dive notes DOE also announced $5.1 billion in loans to Alliant Energy the same week. DOE had already committed up to $4.2 billion to Vistra for uprates.

Why it mattersFederal financing for upgrades at existing reactors is a faster route to new firm power for data-center-driven demand than building new plants or transmission.